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General => SENTINELA => Mensaje iniciado por: miaoqiu3584 en Octubre 04, 2013, 02:39:30 am
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Who could have predicted that all these different things would go wrong? Ahem. Here is my prediction from the day after the bill passed:This program will not reduce the rate of growth in medical costs by anything like 1.5% a year.This was actually a rather easy prediction to make,for two reasons. The first is that the folks who are pushing a project always underestimate the cost,and the stiffer the opposition to their product,the more optimistic they get in order to counter all those shortsighted naysayers on the other side. The second is that much of the cost cuttting was going to be tremendously politically unpopular: unpopular with service providers,and unpopular with the patients that they start refusing to serve.
If getting good results is somewhat random,then all those professors are very vulnerable to a string of bad luck. The temptation to make your own luck is thus very high.Again,I do not excuse those who resort to cheating. But as the consumer of these publications,we should be worried,Kate Spade Outlet (http://www.veltenfinancieel.com/?p=6),because this system essentially selects for bad data handling. The more you manipulate your data (and there are lots of ways to massage your data so that it shows what you'd like,even without knowing you're doing it),the more likely you are to come up with a publishable result. Peer review acts as something of a check on this,of course. But your peers don't know if,for example,you decided to report only the one time your experiment worked,instead of the seven times it didn't.
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